How every Premier League gameweek 26 fixture should have ended, according to statistics

How every Premier League gameweek 26 fixture should have ended, according to statistics
Manchester City striker Sergio Aguero may have hit a hat-trick against Chelsea in his team’s 6-0 victory at the Etihad Stadium but he also missed an absolute sitter.Found at the back post, all the Argentinian had to do was slot home with Kepa Arrizabalaga towards the other side of his goal and no defender near him.Yet in trying to control his effort and place it close to the near post he ended up rustling the side netting.Sergio Aguero scored his second hat-trick in three games10
Sergio Aguero scored his second hat-trick in three games
It’s these moments when expected goals come in handy, according to Understat.com the shot had a value of 0.46, so it wasn’t quite as likely as it seemed.Still, City romped to a tremendous victory and even the statistics suggest 6-0 wasn’t flattering of Pep Guardiola’s side, suggesting the value of their shots was around 4.04 goals. But what about the rest of the weekend’s games? Do the results we got reflect what actually happened?Find out below how every team performed compared to their expected goals in the 24th round ofPremier Leaguematches thanks to statistics from Understat.com…

What is expected goals?

  • Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match.
  • Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
  • The higher the xG of a particular shot, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot.
  • The xG value of every shot in a game is then used to calculate the expected goals in a particular match.

Fulham vs Manchester United

Real result: 0-3xG result: 2.18-2.11Anthony Martial celebrates scoring for Manchester United against Fulham.10
Anthony Martial celebrates scoring for Manchester United against Fulham.

Crystal Palace vs West Ham United

Real result: 1-1xG result: 2.47-1.74Pablo Zabaleta and Wilfried Zaha battle at Selhurst Park.10
Pablo Zabaleta and Wilfried Zaha battle at Selhurst Park.

Watford vs Everton

Real result: 1-0xG result: 1.53-0.65Andre Gray celebrates a rare goal this season for the Hornets.10
Andre Gray celebrates a rare goal this season for the Hornets.

Southampton vs Cardiff City

Real result: 1-2xG result: 1.64-0.40Joe Ralls can’t hide his glee at Kenneth Zohore’s winner.10
Joe Ralls can’t hide his glee at Kenneth Zohore’s winner.

Liverpool vs Bournemouth

Real result: 3-0xG result: 2.53-0.39Liverpool superstar Mohamed Salah celebrates against Bournemouth.10
Liverpool superstar Mohamed Salah celebrates against Bournemouth.

Huddersfield Townvs Arsenal

Real result: 1-2xG result: 1.16-1.79Alex Iwobi sees his shot saved by Jonas Lossl.10
Alex Iwobi sees his shot saved by Jonas Lossl.

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Burnley

Real result: 1-3xG result: 1.27-1.79It was a controversial match between Brighton and Burnley.10
It was a controversial match between Brighton and Burnley.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Leicester City

Real result: 3-1xG result: 1.21-2.76Tottenham stars Christian Eriksen and Harry Winks were delighted during the win over Leicester.10
Tottenham stars Christian Eriksen and Harry Winks were delighted during the win over Leicester.

Manchester City vs Chelsea

Real result: 6-0xG result: 4.04-0.90Raheem Sterling starred for Manchester City.10
Raheem Sterling starred for Manchester City.


Ousmane Dembele’s Barcelona career has not gone to plan, but he is apparently keen to stay and fight for his place in the team

Angel Di Maria has jokingly referred to Lionel Messi as a "dwarf" and admits that, having had the chance to link up with Barcelona in the recent past, he'd only ever consider such a move to play
10 Teams Across Europe's Top 5 Leagues Lionel Messi Has

Eduardo has played for the club’s Under-23s

Tottenham Hotspur have declared their interest in signing Mateo Kovacic from Chelsea. The midfielder arrived at Stamford Bridge in August on a season-long loan from Real Madrid in order to fulfil
Real Madrid Loanee Mateo Kovacic Interested in Permanent



Ole Gunnar Solskjaer has prioritised the signing of players with a reputation for working hard as he looks to 'set the culture right' at Manchester United this summer. The Red Devils look set
Ole Gunnar Solskjaer reveals what he is looking for in

Marseille have a vocal support.

Lallana has struggled for regular first-team football this season and would likely be open to a loan move. Rangers have also been linked with former Manchester United prodigy Ravel Morrison, who is currently at Lazio. But when asked about the two transfers Gerrard was quick to dismiss the suggestions as he said: "There's no truth in either."
Liverpool transfer news: I'm beginning to believe Lallana

Laporte grabbed the all-important second

ON THE ROAD Paris Saint-Germain vs Manchester United: Red Devils face uphill struggle to make Champions League quarter-finals but history in France favours them
Red Devils face uphill struggle to make Champions League

At Manchester United, Jose Mourinho couldn’t compete against the best in England

Leeds vs Sheffield United: How to listen. Full commentary from Elland Road will be exclusively live on talkSPORT 2, with our coverage getting underway at 12pm. Mark Wilson and Simon Grayson will bring you the build-up and live commentary and to tune in just click here for the live stream or click the radio player below.
Derby vs West Brom live on talkSPORT 2: Full commentary and

Fabregas salutes the Chelsea fans on what looks to be his final appearance for the club

Dynamo Kiev vs Chelsea: TV channel, live stream, squad news & preview. With one foot into the quarter-finals of the Europa League, Chelsea will be hoping to seal the deal in a straightforward fashion when they travel to Ukraine to face Dynamo Kiev on Thursday.
What channel is Dynamo Kiev vs Chelsea on? TV channel and

Eden Hazard appears to have just one more game to play for Chelsea before he leaves the club

Football supporters think West Brom fan 's*** himself' during Bristol City thriller. A West Brom fan seemingly got himself into a spot of bother during the thriller with Brist
VIDEO: West Brom fan 'appears to s*** himself' during Bristol

England fans causing trouble in Portugal have been strongly condemned by the FA

UNAI EMERY reckons Denis Suarez is FINALLY ready to start for Arsenal. The Gunners look unlikely to take up their option to buy the on-loan Barcelona midfielder for £18million this summer. Denis Suarez could start for Arsenal against Newcastle on Monday Reuters. Suarez, 25, has yet to start a competitive game since joining in January.
Arsenal news: Denis Suarez still adapting at Gunners says

Rio Ferdinand spoke exclusively to talkSPORT earlier this week

Leeds United Football Club (formerly Leeds United A.F.C.) is a professional association football club based in Leeds, West Yorkshire, England.The club was formed in 1919 following the disbanding of Leeds City F.C. by the Football League and took over their Elland Road stadium.
Leeds v West Brom, RECAP: Championship promotion contenders

The game looked all set for a draw as Northern Ireland huffed and puffed on Belarus

Report: Tottenham keeping close eye on Wolves defender Matt Doherty Saikat 8 January, 2019 English Premier League , Tottenham , Transfer News & Rumours , Wolves According to reports from The Irish Independent, Tottenham Hotspur are showing interest in Wolverhampton Wanderers defender Matt Doherty.
Why Tottenham Hotspur must avoid signing Matt Doherty in January

Post a Comment

0 Comments