Premier League table: Alternative standings after 15 matches, based on expected goals
We were treated to a full round of Premier League fixtures this midweek, and the results threw up some real questions.Chelsea were on the end of a shock defeat at Wolves, while Manchester United dropped further points with Arsenal claiming a draw at Old Trafford.Jesse Lingard grabbed the fourth goal of an exciting encounter at Old Trafford5
Jesse Lingard grabbed the fourth goal of an exciting encounter at Old Trafford
Manchester City and Liverpool extended their unbeaten runs with wins over Watford and Burnley respectively, though both sides did not have it easy against the two out-of-form sides.Elsewhere, there were victories for Bournemouth and West Ham, while Tottenham claimed a routine victory over Southampton, who will have Ralph Hasenhuttl in place as their new manager before they return to action this weekend. But how has this changed the alternative Premier League table based on expected goals?Here at talkSPORT.com were always keeping an eye onUnderstat.comto see how players and clubs are performing based on their xG stats.Find out how the stats believe the Premier League SHOULD be shaping up below

What is expected goals?

  • Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match.
  • Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
  • The higher the xG of a particular shot, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot.
  • The xG valueof every shot in a game is then used to calculate the expected goals in a particular match.
20. Burnley – real position = 19Real points = 9 | Expected points = 9.2019. Fulham – real position = 20Real points = 9 | Expected points = 11.7018. Newcastle – real position = 14Real points = 14 | Expected points = 13.15Newcastle have improved in recent weeks, but they need to continue getting better to avoid relegation5
Newcastle have improved in recent weeks, but they need to continue getting better to avoid relegation
17. Brighton – real position = 10Real points = 21 | Expected points = 13.6716. Huddersfield – real position = 17Real points = 10 | Expected points = 14.2815. Cardiff – real position = 16Real points = 11 | Expected points = 15.9214. Southampton – real position = 18Real points = 9 | Expected points = 17.1713. West Ham – real position = 13Real points = 18 | Expected points = 18.46West Ham have established themselves in the middle of the table5
West Ham have established themselves in the middle of the table
12. Crystal Palace – real position = 15Real points = 12 | Expected points = 18.9811. Manchester United – real position = 8Real points = 23 | Expected points = 20.7510. Everton – real position = 6Real points = 23 | Expected points = 20.919. Arsenal – real position = 5Real points = 31 | Expected points = 22.418. Leicester – real position = 9Real points = 22 | Expected points = 22.497. Watford – real position = 11Real points = 20 | Expected points = 22.51Watford’s recent poor form has made up for them overperforming their xG earlier this season5
Watford’s recent poor form has made up for them overperforming their xG earlier this season
6. Bournemouth – real position = 7Real points = 23 | Expected points = 23.125. Wolves – real position = 12Real points = 19 | Expected points = 24.064. Tottenham – real position = 3Real points = 33 | Expected points = 25.523. Chelsea – real position = 4Real points = 31 | Expected points = 30.92Chelsea remain one of the best teams in the division despite two defeats in their last three matches5
Chelsea remain one of the best teams in the division despite two defeats in their last three matches
2. Liverpool – real position = 2Real points = 39 | Expected points = 31.741. Manchester City – real position = 1Real points = 41 | Expected points = 38.57
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